Posted by
Steve on Wednesday, February 20, 2008 7:30:31 PM
Yesterday in Wisconsin and Hawaii, Barack Obama took his ninth and tenth straight victories. He has Mrs. Bill Clinton on the ropes. Because of the way they allocate delegates in the Democrat party, she still gets almost as much as he does. But, she is now is such a hole that she needs to get 57% of the vote in all the remaining states to erase the hole she is now in.
What are Mrs. Clinton’s options? She could resign and lose gracefully. This is probably not an option. She has worked her whole life for this one run. To have the door slammed shut would be devastating. She could not resign gracefully and come back for another run. This is it for her.
Option two is that she remain in the race for delegates until the convention and hope that the Super Delegates choose her over Barack Obama. This is an option, but she would not hope that they choose her. She would do everything in her power to make sure that the Super Delegates choose her. This is possible and even highly probable.
Option three is that she make a deal with Barack Obama to be his running mate. She would do so only to advance her interests. If I were Barack Obama, I would not take this option. There would be too many opportunities for her to eliminate the President and assume power. Even if she did not conspire to kill the President, she may undermine the President to get him impeached to get her elevated to the Presidency. For Barack Obama there are too many negatives for him to select this option. He would want someone on the ticket that would support him and his Presidency. Mrs. Clinton would never support anyone for President, except for her.
Option four is that she play country hard ball with Barack Obama and get the Michigan and Florida delegations seated. That would be possible because the Democrat party leaders are mostly members of the Clinton administration. This scenario could possibly split the Democrat party. It is even possible that Barack Obama might leave the party and take his football and go home. That would leave the Democrat party split and wounded. Right now, I believe that this is the option that she has chosen. If this one does not work, she will try another, then another until all options are used up. She will not give up until the votes are counted at the convention and Barack Obama is chosen the nominee. Until that time she will work tirelessly to stop that from happening. She has lots of powerful friends in the Democrat party that owe her big time. There are also a lot that would love to stick it to her big time.
Things look very bleak for Team Clinton right now. Things have looked bleak at other times in this race and Mrs. Clinton has pulled a rabbit out of her hat. Until the final gun sounds, you cannot count her out. She is working the back room deals big time. She is offering the Super Delegates everything, but the kitchen sink and I am not so sure about the kitchen sink. Anything she gives to the Super Delegates will not be given directly to the Super Delegates. It will be given to the campaign or such, but the Super Delegate will reap the reward just the same. Millions of dollars in the bank will mean that the Super Delegate will not have to raise as much funds. That is a big plus for Super Delegates that are in close races.
As a revision to my prediction, I think that Barack Obama will win the Democrat nomination. He will win because there are a lot of Democrats that would like to get rid of the Clintons. This is their chance. I believe that enough of them will take it to eliminate the wicked witch from the campaign.